Polymarket market · Sports
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
Resolved: Grant Dawson won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $136K on this market since Oct 23, 79% of their buying on Grant Dawson. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.6¢ less per share, with 30% of the size there to buy. Grant Dawson won, with 79% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$94K and 8 lost −$25K: +$69K between them. Biggest win: Unwieldy-Collagen, +$89K on Grant Dawson. Biggest loss: Nocturnal-Fortress-Apartment, −$8.1K on Nurullo Aliev.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unwieldy-Collagen
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Grant Dawson @ 51¢ | $93K | — | +$89K |
| Nocturnal-Fortress-Apartment
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nurullo Aliev @ 50¢ | $8.1K | — | −$8.1K |
| Unhappy-Something
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nurullo Aliev @ 50¢ | $5.2K | — | −$5.2K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,376 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Grant Dawson @ 52¢ | $3.7K | — | +$1.3K |
| Deafening-Component
23 settled bets Too few bets |
Nurullo Aliev @ 94¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| 0x1507…e175
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Obedient-Greenhouse
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Nurullo Aliev @ 50¢ | $2.6K | — | −$2.6K |
| Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Grant Dawson @ 90¢ | $2.5K | — | +$277 |
| Twin-Livestock-Camper
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nurullo Aliev @ 87¢ | $1.0K | $1.3K | — |
| Itchy-Citron
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nurullo Aliev @ 77¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,219 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Nurullo Aliev @ 51¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Big-Hearted-Geek
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Upbeat-Context
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Crooked-Building
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Grant Dawson @ 94¢ | $1.3K | — | +$80 |
| Splendid-Collectivization
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Grant Dawson @ 36¢ | $1.2K | — | +$2.1K |
| Yearly-Void
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Nurullo Aliev @ 99¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Soupy-Appropriation
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Grant Dawson @ 51¢ | $1.0K | — | +$980 |
| Acclaimed-Refusal-Squeegee
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Grant Dawson @ 99.9¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1 |
| Darling-Afterthought-Gambling
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nurullo Aliev @ 50¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Grant Dawson won$102K79% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $5.8K sold
-
Nurullo Aliev lost$27K21% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $1.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti | $52K | 17 | Won: Lorenzo Musetti | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | $662K | 40 | Won: Yes | |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | $58K | 5 | Won: Arsenal FC | |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 | $109K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | $233K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | $950K | 36 | Won: No | |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? | $90K | 20 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?