Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Resolved: Arsenal FC won · See it on Polymarket ↗
5 whales traded $58K on this market since Oct 22, 90% of their buying on Arsenal FC. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 7 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Arsenal FC won, with 90% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$55K and 2 lost −$5.4K: +$50K between them. Biggest win: Kosher-Refuse, +$54K on Arsenal FC. Biggest loss: Excellent-Figure, −$4.1K on Everton FC.
The whales on this market
5 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosher-Refuse
391 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arsenal FC @ 47¢ | $49K | — | +$54K |
| Excellent-Figure
19 settled bets Too few bets |
Everton FC @ 54¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| Jagged-Spread-Minibus
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Arsenal FC @ 48¢ | $1.0K | $2.1K | +$1.1K |
| Darling-Afterthought-Gambling
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Everton FC @ 59¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Outrageous-Knowledge
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Arsenal FC won$50K90% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $3.1K sold
-
Everton FC lost$5.4K10% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | $662K | 40 | Won: Yes | |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 | $109K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | $136K | 19 | Won: Grant Dawson | |
| Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti | $52K | 17 | Won: Lorenzo Musetti | |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | $233K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | $950K | 36 | Won: No | |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? | $90K | 20 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?