Sour-Waveform-Motherinlaw
Skill vs luck
Sour-Waveform-Motherinlaw on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 38%–96%) · profit +$4.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sour-Waveform-Motherinlaw: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf9af8a471190320c63078b4ffb8626ea6859a4ce. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sour-Waveform-Motherinlaw: +$4.2K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$4.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Alexander Volkanovski @ 47¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $4.8K |
| Oct 24 | BUY
@ 55¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? |
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | $2.1K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes @ 70¢ | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | $2.0K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Yes @ 98¢ | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? ↗ | $2.5K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?