Vivid-Suggestion

0xf975c19db5d1da14029109a4df52ee87d0a64354

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Vivid-Suggestion: +$22K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 40%–89%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$22K
return +21.0%
Settled bets
10
$104K staked
Won
70.0%
95% range 40%–89%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$8.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$14K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 19¢
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? $1.9K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? $9.2K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? $37K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 71¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? $4.5K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 29¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05? $8.5K
Sep 5 BUY Yes @ 71¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05? $17K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 63¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? $1.2K
Aug 22 BUY No @ 6¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed