Polymarket market · Sports
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti
Resolved: Lorenzo Musetti won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $52K on this market since Oct 24, 69% of their buying on Flavio Cobolli. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 93% of the size there to buy. Lorenzo Musetti won, with 31% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$13K and 12 lost −$35K: −$22K between them. Biggest win: Embellished-Lecture, +$8.5K on Lorenzo Musetti. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$6.3K on Flavio Cobolli.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Lecture
71 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 58¢ | $12K | — | +$8.5K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,922 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Flavio Cobolli @ 72¢ | $6.3K | — | −$6.3K |
| Meager-Flair-Wait
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 59¢ | $4.4K | — | −$4.4K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat
208 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 57¢ | $3.8K | — | −$3.8K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,376 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Flavio Cobolli @ 59¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Organic-Networking
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 80¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,044 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 23¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Venerated-Dozen
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 55¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Shallow-Team
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 65¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Lone-Stench
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 58¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Prestigious-Produce
26 settled bets Too few bets |
Flavio Cobolli @ 60¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Wrathful-Row
245 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 80¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,858 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 35¢ | $1.8K | — | +$3.3K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,854 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 59¢ | $1.0K | — | +$727 |
| Creamy-Guest
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 52¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Shy-Wake-Pail
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Fresh-Poppy
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 62¢ | $1.0K | — | +$622 |
Where the whale money went
-
Flavio Cobolli lost$35K69% of whale buying · 12 buyers
-
Lorenzo Musetti won$16K31% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | $136K | 19 | Won: Grant Dawson | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | $662K | 40 | Won: Yes | |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | $58K | 5 | Won: Arsenal FC | |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 | $109K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | $233K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | $950K | 36 | Won: No | |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? | $90K | 20 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?