Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

41 whales put $145K into this market since Sep 24, 65% of their buying on Natus Vincere. Natus Vincere won. Of the 28 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$24K and 14 lost −$33K: −$8.9K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 41
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xf3ce…a57a
78 settled bets Beat the odds*
Natus Vincere @ 75¢ $14K — +$4.5K
Well-Documented-Outrigger
118 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 74¢ $13K — +$4.7K
Pointed-Dose-Formamide
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Nemesis @ 31¢ $3.1K $7.1K —
Bland-Tug
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 83¢ $3.6K $4.4K —
Other-Laboratory
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 72¢ $3.0K $4.2K +$1.2K
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
44 settled bets Worse than the odds
Team Nemesis @ 57¢ $7.0K — −$7.0K
Cautious-Vine
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Nemesis @ 50¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Insignificant-Window-Recollection
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 76¢ $5.4K — +$1.7K
Nervous-Parallelogram
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 66¢ $4.6K — +$2.4K
Annual-Donation-Land
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 83¢ $4.2K — +$850
Worst-Analogue
305 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 59¢ $4.0K — +$2.8K
Straight-Eveningwear-Gerbil
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Nemesis @ 42¢ $4.0K — −$691
Medical-Subtitle-Leg
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Nemesis @ 26¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Dearest-Urge
285 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $3.7K — +$1.6K
Fearless-Drudgery
21 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.4K —
False-Barbecue
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Nemesis @ 38¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Worn-Tadpole
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 91¢ $3.2K — +$321
Vigilant-Environment
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 81¢ $3.2K — −$675
Cumbersome-Skirt
130 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.6K —
Wrong-Respite
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Yellowish-Macadamia-Heroine
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 83¢ $2.1K — +$435
Damp-Possibility
149 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Nemesis @ 48¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Inconsequential-Median
32 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Robust-Spandex-Jackfruit
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 55¢ $2.0K — +$1.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere won
    $71K
    65% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $35K sold
  2. Team Nemesis lost
    $36K
    34% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $1.1K sold
  3. Natus Vincere lost
    $1.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 24 to Sep 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed