Fearless-Drudgery
0xbed3644bcdaab7d8bfa582bbf9ffb7ef9598fbe2
Fearless-Drudgery: +$6.6K on 32 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 34% (95% range 20%–52%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.6K
return +33.4%
Settled bets
32
$20K staked
Won
34.4%
95% range 20%–52%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$6.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $4.4K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | $3.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora
@ 76¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $3.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 10¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 81¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $9.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $4.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.