Annual-Donation-Land

0x85fb1b29bc068bee293923cc7e072dff890889ba

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Annual-Donation-Land: +$8.3K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 77% (95% range 57%–90%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$8.3K
return +11.5%
Settled bets
22
$72K staked
Won
77.3%
95% range 57%–90%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$660
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$1.5K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$6.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix @ 90¢
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Frites Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Frites Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs $5.4K
Oct 4 BUY Rams @ 60¢
Rams vs. Eagles
Rams vs. Eagles $1.9K
Oct 3 BUY Team Falcons @ 79¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.3K
Oct 1 BUY Nongshim RedForce @ 86¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D $6.0K
Oct 1 BUY Team Liquid @ 80¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C $5.6K
Sep 26 BUY Team Heretics Academy @ 93¢
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs eSuba (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs eSuba (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage $4.7K
Sep 25 BUY magic @ 74¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $3.7K
Sep 24 BUY Natus Vincere @ 83¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $4.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed