Wrong-Respite

0xb4cd4d6fe596f360137e5a0441fecc4e1ec9c041

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wrong-Respite: −$2.3K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–15%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.3K
return −101.6%
Settled bets
22
$2.2K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–15%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$5
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$6
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Oct 1 SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner $1.4K
Oct 1 SELL OG @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY CYBERSHOKE Esports @ 51¢
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 30 BUY Natus Vincere @ 76¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 27 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner $2.3K
Sep 26 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.7K
Sep 26 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner $5.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed