Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Resolved: Aurora won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $87K into this market since Oct 9, 80% of their buying on Aurora. Aurora won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$17K and 6 lost −$12K: +$5.2K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Knotty-Tenor
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 99.87¢ $11K — +$14
Blue-Refuse
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 72¢ $1.0K $7.2K —
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 60¢ $7.0K — +$4.7K
0xf3ce…a57a
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 72¢ $6.9K — +$2.7K
Other-Laboratory
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 61¢ $2.0K $3.3K +$1.3K
Medical-Subtitle-Leg
49 settled bets Beat the odds*
LGD Gaming @ 40¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Direct-Mammoth-Mailbox
18 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora @ 77¢ $2.1K $2.8K +$647
Periodic-Garbage
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Mealy-Collaboration
248 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 72¢ $4.0K — +$1.5K
Fearless-Drudgery
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.5K —
Sparkling-Manipulation-Blame
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Calculating-Millennium
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Hefty-Tentacle
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 60¢ $2.4K — +$1.6K
Eminent-Graduation-Chalice
5 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora @ 73¢ $1.9K — +$716
0xe367…bf34
4 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora @ 74¢ $1.9K — +$683
Ajar-Fatigues
5 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora @ 59¢ $1.8K — +$1.2K
Cautious-Vine
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 36¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Insignificant-Window-Recollection
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 75¢ $1.6K — +$531
Itchy-Citron
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 35¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Ultimate-Underpass
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 66¢ $1.4K — +$711
Plain-Attitude
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 69¢ $1.4K — +$620
Wooden-Breath
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 36¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Dearest-Urge
303 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 40¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Jittery-Variant
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Roasted-Complement
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Aurora won
    $46K
    80% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $28K sold
  2. LGD Gaming lost
    $12K
    20% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More esports markets the whales bet on

All Esports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $89K 27 Won: Aurora
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $263K 61 Won: PARIVISION
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner $129K 31 Won: PARIVISION
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $231K 52 Won: 1win
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $114K 22 Won: 100 Thieves
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner $67K 15 Won: Nongshim RedForce
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $359K 70 Won: Team Spirit
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $465K 56 Won: Aurora
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed