Polymarket market · Esports

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner

Resolved: Nongshim RedForce won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $67K into this market since Oct 9, 70% of their buying on 100 Thieves. Nongshim RedForce won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$7.4K and 9 lost −$35K: −$28K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Verifiable-Rip
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $12K —
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 61¢ $10K — −$10K
Nervous-Parallelogram
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 55¢ $8.8K — −$5.8K
0x7759…995f
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 85¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Total-Cover-Author
188 settled bets Worse than the odds
100 Thieves @ 81¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Worst-Analogue
366 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 50¢ $4.4K — −$1.9K
Used-Moose
6 settled bets Too few bets
Nongshim RedForce @ 43¢ $3.8K — +$5.0K
Tedious-Pagan
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 75¢ $3.2K — −$247
Scary-Pearl
251 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 99¢ $2.3K — +$23
Inexperienced-Gum
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 69¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Pointless-Illustration
6 settled bets Too few bets
Nongshim RedForce @ 95¢ $2.0K — +$115
Meek-Spelling-Birth
7 settled bets Too few bets
100 Thieves @ 87¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Exemplary-Temp
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Sophisticated-Handicap
18 settled bets Worse than the odds
100 Thieves @ 78¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Overlooked-Moment
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 41¢ $1.5K — +$2.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. 100 Thieves lost
    $37K
    70% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  2. Nongshim RedForce won
    $16K
    30% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $14K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed