Hefty-Tentacle
0x87da2f16cf98af9b3e2f6ba6d9c4c470815b53d1
Hefty-Tentacle: +$13K on 47 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 24%–51%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$13K
return +18.1%
Settled bets
47
$71K staked
Won
36.2%
95% range 24%–51%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$12K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 60¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 91¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 93¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 67¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 71¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 56¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $4.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 75¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 75¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.