Pastel-Push
0xfbf3d501e88815464642d0e913f15379c3eeb218
Pastel-Push: +$9.9K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 28%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$9.9K
return +22.9%
Settled bets
16
$43K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 28%–72%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$13K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | BUY Timo Legout
@ 57¢
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes |
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | $2.9K |
| Sep 8 | SELL Karen Khachanov
@ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien |
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | $11K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 57¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien |
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | $4.7K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Frances Tiafoe
@ 74¢
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe |
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe | $6.1K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Felix Balshaw
@ 55¢
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw |
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw | $4.1K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Jakub Mensik
@ 55¢
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien |
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien | $1.2K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Alexandra Eala
@ 49¢
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala |
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala | $3.1K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 57¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens |
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens | $3.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.