Dishonest-Transaction
0xb14ac3a7e4b56c26afd5cd065c500fa0a2be4254
Dishonest-Transaction: +$2.5K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2.5K
return +20.8%
Settled bets
8
$12K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 41%–93%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | BUY Pipsqueak+4
@ 77¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Sep 22 | SELL GamerLegion
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $2.7K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yakult Brothers
@ 60¢
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 83¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Aurora
@ 86¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 84¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner | $2.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Xtreme Gaming
@ 85¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.