Plastic-Deployment
Skill vs luck
Plastic-Deployment on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 9%–53%) · profit +$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Plastic-Deployment: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x59e2375db01a8116f6d578c441107d8f0ed81c55. Data CC BY 4.0.
Plastic-Deployment: +$1.3K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 9%–53%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$723
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$546
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL LEGION @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 8 | SELL LEGION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO5) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO5) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Blasterbl
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Xtreme Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Aurora @ 77¢ | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs ↗ | $1.8K |
| Sep 20 | BUY MOUZ
@ 83¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pibbles Corp - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pibbles Corp - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ↗ | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?