Oily-Size-Labor
Skill vs luck
Oily-Size-Labor on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$1.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Oily-Size-Labor: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x087e7994238c979da9eaa66411e2e2dedc901fa8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Oily-Size-Labor: −$1.5K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$1.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Astra Invicta @ 73¢ | Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | SELL LEGION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?