Polymarket market · Esports
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Resolved: OG won · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales traded $103K on this market since Oct 23, 86% of their buying on OG. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 2.7¢ more per share, with 90% of the size there to buy. OG won, with 86% of the whale buying on it. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$27K and 6 lost −$9.8K: +$17K between them. Biggest win: Mealy-Collaboration, +$8.1K on OG. Biggest loss: Medical-Subtitle-Leg, −$2.3K on 1win.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimmering-Poetry-Sprinter
18 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 64¢ | $3.2K | $13K | — |
| Mealy-Collaboration
289 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 56¢ | $10K | — | +$8.1K |
| Finished-Cholesterol
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 85¢ | $8.0K | — | +$1.4K |
| Dearest-Urge
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 60¢ | $6.9K | — | +$4.6K |
| Cautious-Vine
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 90¢ | $6.2K | — | +$667 |
| Harmless-Region
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.2K | — |
| 0xf3ce…a57a
119 settled bets Beat the odds* |
OG @ 62¢ | $5.1K | — | +$3.1K |
| Disgusting-Ability
18 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 90¢ | $1.7K | $1.9K | +$193 |
| Full-Insomnia
6 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 67¢ | $1.2K | $2.3K | — |
| Feisty-Mango-Blind
35 settled bets Worse than the odds |
OG @ 80¢ | $1.4K | $2.0K | — |
| Plain-Attitude
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 80¢ | $3.2K | — | +$818 |
| Fat-Solidarity
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 59¢ | $3.1K | — | +$2.2K |
| Bouncy-Podcast-Origin
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 45¢ | $2.5K | — | +$3.1K |
| Cluttered-Cart-Autoimmunity
9 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 60¢ | $2.4K | — | +$1.6K |
| Medical-Subtitle-Leg
77 settled bets Beat the odds* |
1win @ 30¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,197 settled bets Worse than the odds |
OG @ 81¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$234 |
| Standard-Tarragon
162 settled bets Worse than the odds |
1win @ 45¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Idolized-Pyridine
9 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 91¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$100 |
| Sparkling-Manipulation-Blame
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Belated-Endorsement-Honesty
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
1win @ 42¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Wild-Plough-Brocolli
3 settled bets Too few bets |
1win @ 42¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Ultimate-Underpass
234 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 74¢ | $1.4K | — | +$507 |
| Inconsequential-Median
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Periodic-Garbage
146 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
1win @ 40¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Noteworthy-Permafrost-Zinc
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 75¢ | $1.1K | — | +$375 |
Where the whale money went
-
OG won$60K86% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $34K sold
-
1win lost$9.8K14% of whale buying · 6 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More esports markets the whales bet on
All Esports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner | $53K | 13 | Won: OG | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | $109K | 35 | Won: GamerLegion | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | $106K | 32 | Won: GamerLegion | |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner | $64K | 17 | Won: Astra Invicta | |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $344K | 46 | Won: Gen.G | |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $162K | 38 | Won: Hanwha Life Esports | |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $262K | 42 | Won: Movistar KOI | |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $397K | 40 | Won: Karmine Corp |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?