Idolized-Pyridine

0x6e63d8136aadab9c2acf07de42a9b6e7dec29e38

Skill vs luck

Idolized-Pyridine on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 35%–88%) · profit −$597. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Idolized-Pyridine: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6e63d8136aadab9c2acf07de42a9b6e7dec29e38. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Idolized-Pyridine: −$597 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

−$597

return −4.7%

Settled bets

$13K staked

Won

66.7%

95% range 35%–88%

Mostly bets on

esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Sep 5 – Sep 21: +$343
Oct 7 – Oct 24: −$940

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.2% (2,187 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 23	BUY Astra Invicta @ 70¢ Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner ↗	$2.6K
Oct 23	SELL Astra Invicta @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	$2.6K
Oct 23	BUY Team Liquid @ 69¢ Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗	$2.6K
Oct 23	SELL OG @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner ↗	$1.1K
Oct 23	BUY OG @ 91¢ Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner ↗	$1.0K
Oct 22	BUY Team Spirit @ 84¢ Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	$1.3K
Oct 22	BUY Team Spirit @ 91¢ Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	$2.3K
Oct 18	SELL salamit @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: salamit vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: salamit vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	$1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed