Polymarket market · Esports
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Resolved: OG won · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $53K on this market since Oct 23, 90% of their buying on OG. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 10.3¢ more per share, with 65% of the size there to buy. OG won, with 90% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$24K and 2 lost −$2.5K: +$21K between them. Biggest win: Medical-Subtitle-Leg, +$19K on OG. Biggest loss: Worst-Analogue, −$1.3K on 1win.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medical-Subtitle-Leg
77 settled bets Beat the odds* |
OG @ 43¢ | $14K | — | +$19K |
| Shimmering-Poetry-Sprinter
18 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 96¢ | $5.7K | $6.3K | — |
| Wild-Plough-Brocolli
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $8.1K | — |
| Female-Baker-Teenager
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 72¢ | $4.0K | — | −$1.2K |
| Belated-Endorsement-Honesty
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 50¢ | $1.0K | $2.0K | +$998 |
| Inconsequential-Median
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| Yellow-Daughter
9 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 57¢ | $2.1K | — | +$1.6K |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
223 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
OG @ 40¢ | $1.5K | — | +$2.2K |
| Giving-Wraparound
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Worst-Analogue
418 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
1win @ 65¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Full-Insomnia
6 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 84¢ | $1.2K | — | +$219 |
| Feisty-Mango-Blind
35 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Spectacular-Lottery-Cayenne
10 settled bets Too few bets |
OG @ 96¢ | $1.0K | — | +$39 |
Where the whale money went
-
OG won$29K90% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $21K sold
-
1win lost$3.3K10% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More esports markets the whales bet on
All Esports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner | $103K | 29 | Won: OG | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | $109K | 35 | Won: GamerLegion | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | $106K | 32 | Won: GamerLegion | |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner | $64K | 17 | Won: Astra Invicta | |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $344K | 46 | Won: Gen.G | |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $162K | 38 | Won: Hanwha Life Esports | |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $262K | 42 | Won: Movistar KOI | |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $397K | 40 | Won: Karmine Corp |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?