Noteworthy-Permafrost-Zinc

0x14ca946e75d59b8b7ebe21110512f7b885d78f43

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Noteworthy-Permafrost-Zinc: +$892 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$892
return +24.7%
Settled bets
6
$3.6K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$892
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix @ 81¢
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 9 BUY Galions @ 87¢
LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 Winner $1.3K
Oct 7 SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.1K
Oct 7 SELL Karmine Corp Blue @ 99.9¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner $1.6K
Oct 4 BUY Astralis @ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $1.1K
Oct 3 SELL LYON @ 99.9¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner $2.9K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed