Belated-Endorsement-Honesty

0x0af6cefb0f6ec624ff00d5da1c8f0c4de51abf98

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Belated-Endorsement-Honesty: +$5.1K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 29%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.1K
return +40.1%
Settled bets
13
$13K staked
Won
53.8%
95% range 29%–77%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$5.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY PARIVISION @ 67¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Oct 10 BUY Team Yandex @ 54¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY LGD Gaming @ 28¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY HANJIN BRION @ 39¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY LGD Gaming @ 68¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.5K
Oct 2 SELL OG @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner $5.9K
Oct 2 BUY OG @ 38¢
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Oct 1 BUY Team Liquid @ 37¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed