Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Resolved: Spirit won · See it on Polymarket ↗
21 whales traded $110K on this market since Oct 26, 59% of their buying on Spirit. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 118 seconds later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Spirit won, with 59% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$14K and 3 lost −$11K: +$3.6K between them. Biggest win: Total-Author, +$5.6K on Spirit. Biggest loss: Variable-Ski, −$6.5K on FURIA.
The whales on this market
21 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distant-Pomelo
209 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $27K | — |
| Total-Author
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 64¢ | $9.9K | — | +$5.6K |
| Boring-Constellation
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 75¢ | $4.0K | $4.1K | — |
| Better-Military
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.6K | — |
| Delicious-Attacker
618 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 54¢ | $6.7K | — | −$2.5K |
| Unruly-Rocker
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.7K | — |
| Used-Moose
22 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $6.6K | — |
| Variable-Ski
114 settled bets Worse than the odds |
FURIA @ 41¢ | $6.5K | — | −$6.5K |
| Defenseless-Warrant-Escape
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.8K | — |
| Wet-Tenement-Guy
21 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Guilty-Aide
52 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Spirit @ 42¢ | $3.3K | — | +$4.5K |
| Gregarious-Instrumentation
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Harmful-Nest
111 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 64¢ | $2.6K | — | +$1.4K |
| Crowded-Peacock
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Total-Cover-Author
241 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 56¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.6K |
| Aged-Laughter
19 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Sparkling-Dynamite
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 58¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Proper-Hemp
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Bowed-Shin-Obstacle
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| 0x3818…132d
18 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 58¢ | $1.0K | — | +$734 |
| Ill-Informed-Glasses-Patriot
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 64¢ | $1.0K | — | +$562 |
Where the whale money went
-
Spirit won$23K59% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $66K sold
-
FURIA lost$14K36% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $3.0K sold
-
Spirit lost$1.8K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $67K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $87K | 24 | Open | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $283K | 61 | Open | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | $97K | 15 | Open | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $530K | 59 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | $52K | 10 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $88K | 15 | Won: DENDELE CS | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | $175K | 5 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?