Proper-Hemp
Skill vs luck
Proper-Hemp on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 13% (95% range 2%–47%) · profit +$187. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Proper-Hemp: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5511506f54b878b424995da7dab30fd993e85734. Data CC BY 4.0.
Proper-Hemp: +$187 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 13% (95% range 2%–47%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$4
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$193
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | SELL 1WIN @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Nemiga
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Spirit @ 88¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | SELL 100 Thieves
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | $4.9K |
| Sep 26 | SELL 3DMAX @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs ↗ | $5.0K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Luminosity
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?