Polymarket market · Other
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $67K on this market since Sep 22, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$179 and 0 lost $0: +$179 between them. Biggest win: Harsh-Macro, +$84 on No.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harsh-Macro
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.82¢ | $47K | — | +$84 |
| Grown-Fence
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.78¢ | $7.1K | — | +$15 |
| Menacing-Blogger
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.32¢ | $4.7K | — | +$32 |
| Hateful-Generation
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Strong-Exit
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.65¢ | $2.4K | — | +$8 |
| Mortified-Roast
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — | +$38 |
| Velvety-Burn
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.8¢ | $1.1K | — | +$2 |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$64K100% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $3.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22 to Oct 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $110K | 21 | Won: Spirit | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $87K | 24 | Open | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $530K | 59 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | $52K | 10 | Open | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $283K | 61 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $88K | 15 | Won: DENDELE CS | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | $175K | 5 | Open | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | $97K | 15 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?