Defenseless-Warrant-Escape
Skill vs luck
Defenseless-Warrant-Escape on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit +$5.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Defenseless-Warrant-Escape: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc3f8c1d0d76592e8eb5eef544a371786f9ee60d6. Data CC BY 4.0.
Defenseless-Warrant-Escape: +$5.7K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$9.2K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$3.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Gen.G @ 94¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $14K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Invictus Gaming @ 57¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 23 | BUY 1win
@ 66¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY FURIA
@ 68¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5) | $2.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Nemiga @ 42¢ | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs ↗ | $6.7K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?