Crowded-Peacock
0xa7b12aac995899570e0de0c660eaa88d37288801
Crowded-Peacock: +$2.6K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 13%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.6K
return +8.2%
Settled bets
13
$31K staked
Won
30.8%
95% range 13%–58%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$6.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$4.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 36¢
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? |
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $2.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Luminosity
@ 48¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $3.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY 3DMAX
@ 51¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Vitality
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner | $3.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Vitality
@ 65¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner | $3.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY FURIA
@ 33¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Vitality
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.