Wicked-Bull-Mover
Skill vs luck
Wicked-Bull-Mover on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$7.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wicked-Bull-Mover: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x54eec0596badfdd938b4f3ac6b1cb26d02e95547. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wicked-Bull-Mover: −$7.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$602
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$6.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Astralis @ 51¢ | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs ↗ | $5.7K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Astralis @ 51¢ | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY The Otter Side
@ 59¢
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY NIP
@ 70¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | $1.9K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?