Soggy-Bibliography

0xb73e43e4d29e57fa90090b6ff3e9a671453bc66f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Soggy-Bibliography: +$769 on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 18%–53%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$769
return +2.8%
Settled bets
24
$28K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 18%–53%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 7 – Sep 25
−$1.2K
Sep 25 – Oct 13
+$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 SELL No @ 90¢
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-10-11?
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-10-11? $5.4K
Oct 11 BUY No @ 44¢
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-10-11?
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-10-11? $3.0K
Oct 11 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5 $3.0K
Oct 11 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5
CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5 $4.5K
Oct 11 SELL Over @ 36¢
Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5
Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5 $1.0K
Oct 11 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 $5.0K
Oct 11 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Modena FC 2018 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5
Modena FC 2018 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5 $3.5K
Oct 11 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5 $5.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed