Muddy-Ginger-Pelican
Skill vs luck
Muddy-Ginger-Pelican on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$6.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Muddy-Ginger-Pelican: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x82c5f9a2625885ff0e3e65eb8c8fc46d565892d0. Data CC BY 4.0.
Muddy-Ginger-Pelican: −$6.6K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$6.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Astralis @ 48¢ | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs ↗ | $4.8K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Cloud9 @ 80¢ | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In ↗ | $1.8K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?