Winding-Road
0xda3a9b7afff7b44ad4fd75308723194e0a11381f
Winding-Road: +$7.5K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 27%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$7.5K
return +14.5%
Settled bets
19
$52K staked
Won
47.4%
95% range 27%–68%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$4.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$8.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 65¢
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) | $3.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY MOUZ
@ 36¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $7.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 36¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $3.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY BIG
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $3.2K |
| Oct 2 | BUY fnatic
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Galions
@ 42¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Verdant
@ 57¢
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Luminosity
@ 39¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $2.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.