Polymarket market · Sports
Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov
Resolved: Karen Khachanov won · See it on Polymarket ↗
22 whales traded $126K on this market since Oct 22, 88% of their buying on Karen Khachanov. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Karen Khachanov won, with 88% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$44K and 3 lost −$3.9K: +$40K between them. Biggest win: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, +$23K on Karen Khachanov. Biggest loss: Reliable-Giggle, −$2.0K on Tomas Machac.
The whales on this market
22 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,347 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Karen Khachanov @ 63¢ | $48K | — | +$23K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,764 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Karen Khachanov @ 76¢ | $12K | — | +$2.6K |
| Wrathful-Row
231 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tomas Machac @ 71¢ | $3.1K | $6.8K | — |
| Homely-Modernist
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 71¢ | $8.5K | — | +$3.5K |
| Illustrious-Budget
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 71¢ | $8.5K | — | +$3.5K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,942 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 69¢ | $8.5K | — | +$2.0K |
| Each-Cenotaph
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Striped-Strobe-Campus
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,197 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Tomas Machac @ 48¢ | $1.4K | $1.1K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 70¢ | $2.5K | — | −$436 |
| Dapper-Dessert-Proofreader
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| Untrue-Parade
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Karen Khachanov @ 58¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.5K |
| Reliable-Giggle
149 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tomas Machac @ 48¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,776 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Karen Khachanov @ 82¢ | $1.8K | — | +$390 |
| Sturdy-Overheard
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Standard-Tarragon
162 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Karen Khachanov @ 30¢ | $1.6K | — | +$3.6K |
| Digital-Pamphlet
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tomas Machac @ 47¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Celebrated-Executor
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 52¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.3K |
| Sorrowful-Outrage
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 57¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.1K |
| Spotless-Girlfriend
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 72¢ | $1.4K | — | +$534 |
| Dear-Workplace
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Grand-Past
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 51¢ | $1.1K | — | +$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Karen Khachanov won$94K88% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $11K sold
-
Tomas Machac lost$13K12% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $8.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro | $98K | 7 | Won: Daniil Medvedev | |
| Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider | $110K | 18 | Won: Diana Shnaider | |
| Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci | $134K | 29 | Won: Terence Atmane | |
| Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz | $100K | 15 | Won: Taylor Fritz | |
| Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic | $81K | 17 | Won: Katarzyna Kawa | |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22? | $153K | 18 | Won: No | |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22? | $58K | 8 | Won: No | |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima | $104K | 18 | Won: Mary Stoiana |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?