Polymarket market · Sports

Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic

Resolved: Katarzyna Kawa won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales traded $81K on this market since Oct 22, 62% of their buying on Belinda Bencic. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Katarzyna Kawa won, with 38% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$29K and 9 lost −$44K: −$16K between them. Biggest win: Prickly-Clasp-Discount, +$22K on Katarzyna Kawa. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$16K on Belinda Bencic.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
964 settled bets Beat the odds*
Belinda Bencic @ 81¢ $16K — −$16K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,347 settled bets Beat the odds*
Katarzyna Kawa @ 71¢ $15K — +$6.3K
Recent-Exhusband-Well
2 settled bets Too few bets
Belinda Bencic @ 84¢ $7.9K — −$7.9K
Slow-Escape
370 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Belinda Bencic @ 86¢ $7.7K — −$7.7K
Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
122 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Katarzyna Kawa @ 91¢ $6.4K — +$649
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Belinda Bencic @ 86¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
Prickly-Clasp-Discount
290 settled bets Beat the odds*
Katarzyna Kawa @ 15¢ $3.8K — +$22K
Reliable-Giggle
149 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.7K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,776 settled bets Beat the odds*
Belinda Bencic @ 88¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Dimpled-Fishbone
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.4K —
Canine-Corporation-Bend
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Belinda Bencic @ 54¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Pointless-Illustration
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Katarzyna Kawa @ 84¢ $2.0K — +$381
Gentle-Granny
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Illustrious-Pinecone
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Belinda Bencic @ 81¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Negligible-Violence
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Sad-Help
9 settled bets Too few bets
Belinda Bencic @ 89¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Unruly-Rocker
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Belinda Bencic @ 50¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Belinda Bencic lost
    $44K
    62% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  2. Katarzyna Kawa won
    $28K
    38% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $9.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792825211).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci $134K 29 Won: Terence Atmane
Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima $104K 18 Won: Mary Stoiana
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini $156K 21 Won: Iva Jovic
Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider $110K 18 Won: Diana Shnaider
Kings vs. Clippers $131K 17 Won: Clippers
Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov $126K 22 Won: Karen Khachanov
Warriors vs. Lakers $223K 29 Won: Lakers
Suns vs. Trail Blazers $140K 17 Won: Trail Blazers
About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed