Polymarket market · Sports
Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz
Resolved: Taylor Fritz won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $100K on this market since Oct 22, 74% of their buying on Taylor Fritz. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 89 seconds later would have cost 2.6¢ more per share, with 76% of the size there to buy. Taylor Fritz won, with 74% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$30K and 5 lost −$23K: +$6.5K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$10K on Taylor Fritz. Biggest loss: Dapper-Pub-Warmth, −$15K on Pierre-Hugues Herbert.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
964 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Taylor Fritz @ 71¢ | $24K | — | +$10K |
| Dapper-Pub-Warmth
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert @ 56¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,942 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Taylor Fritz @ 70¢ | $11K | — | +$4.9K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,347 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Taylor Fritz @ 71¢ | $11K | — | +$2.7K |
| Forked-Pricing
211 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Taylor Fritz @ 90¢ | $8.3K | — | +$910 |
| Distant-Pomelo
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Taylor Fritz @ 68¢ | $6.5K | — | +$3.1K |
| Innocent-Grape
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Taylor Fritz @ 76¢ | $4.2K | — | +$1.3K |
| Quixotic-Brow
203 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert @ 20¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Bumpy-Burden
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Irresponsible-Autumn
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert @ 27¢ | $2.7K | — | −$378 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,764 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert @ 41¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea
106 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Taylor Fritz @ 59¢ | $2.2K | — | +$1.5K |
| Celebrated-Executor
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Taylor Fritz @ 27¢ | $1.8K | — | +$4.8K |
| Plush-Tutu
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Taylor Fritz @ 85¢ | $1.5K | — | +$267 |
| Shallow-Team
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert @ 45¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Taylor Fritz won$71K74% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $3.0K sold
-
Pierre-Hugues Herbert lost$25K26% of whale buying · 6 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22? | $153K | 18 | Won: No | |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22? | $58K | 8 | Won: No | |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro | $98K | 7 | Won: Daniil Medvedev | |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22? | $52K | 14 | Won: No | |
| Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov | $126K | 22 | Won: Karen Khachanov | |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | $159K | 21 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22? | $59K | 10 | Won: No | |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | $100K | 11 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?