Polymarket market · Sports
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
18 whales traded $153K on this market since Oct 21, 66% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 79 seconds later would have cost 1.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 34% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$61K and 16 lost −$98K: −$38K between them. Biggest win: Glass-Supper, +$60K on No. Biggest loss: Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller, −$30K on Yes.
The whales on this market
18 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass-Supper
77 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 44¢ | $47K | — | +$60K |
| Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 53¢ | $30K | — | −$30K |
| Curly-Soap
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Colorless-Discussion-Steamroller
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 53¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,764 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 55¢ | $9.5K | — | −$3.4K |
| Hurtful-Guarantee-Rhubarb
36 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 54¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Foolhardy-Native-Youth
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 54¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Black-Latter
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $4.8K | — | −$4.8K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,262 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 55¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Infamous-Ocelot
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 55¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Scary-Edible
1,542 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 55¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 55¢ | $2.7K | — | −$2.7K |
| Neighboring-Press-Bathroom
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 78¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Flippant-Optimal-Science
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 52¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,343 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 55¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Frail-Painter
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 56¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Pristine-Hatred
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 47¢ | $1.2K | — | +$1.4K |
| Experienced-Honoree-Souvenir
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 53¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$102K66% of whale buying · 16 buyers
-
No won$51K34% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22? | $58K | 8 | Won: No | |
| Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz | $100K | 15 | Won: Taylor Fritz | |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22? | $52K | 14 | Won: No | |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | $159K | 21 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22? | $59K | 10 | Won: No | |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | $100K | 11 | Won: Over | |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-22? | $85K | 4 | Won: No | |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro | $98K | 7 | Won: Daniil Medvedev |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?