Polymarket market · Sports
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
Resolved: Arthur Fils won · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales put $302K into this market since Aug 23, 72% of their buying on Arthur Fils. Arthur Fils won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$77K and 7 lost −$70K: +$6.6K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Fils @ 56¢ | $57K | — | +$45K |
| Flamboyant-Hummus-Advance
29 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Arthur Fils @ 54¢ | $4.9K | $29K | — |
| Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 36¢ | $32K | — | −$32K |
| Guilty-Community
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 99.89¢ | $26K | — | +$28 |
| Unwieldy-Stick-Acetate
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 99.9¢ | $21K | — | +$21 |
| Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 43¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Tempting-Chrysalis
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Arthur Fils @ 58¢ | $15K | $2.5K | +$8.7K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 34¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Fils @ 83¢ | $8.6K | — | +$1.8K |
| Vigilant-Vibrissae
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 67¢ | $6.9K | — | +$3.3K |
| Warped-Scholar
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 65¢ | $6.8K | — | +$3.7K |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Arthur Fils @ 68¢ | $6.7K | — | +$3.2K |
| Nutty-Rooster-Colonialism
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 56¢ | $6.7K | — | +$5.3K |
| Salty-Wording-Breadcrumb
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.1K | — |
| Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 86¢ | $5.1K | — | +$845 |
| Finished-Icicle
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.0K | — |
| Wicked-Output
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.8K | — |
| Popular-Rake-Defeat
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 54¢ | $3.4K | — | +$2.9K |
| Naive-Illustration-Violation
40 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
| Multicolored-Trust
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Fils @ 87¢ | $2.9K | — | +$434 |
| Noisy-Response
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Arthur Fils @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — | +$32 |
| Hilarious-Descent
15 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 36¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Dirty-Reliability
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Arthur Fils @ 67¢ | $2.0K | — | +$985 |
| Chubby-Passport
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Arthur Fils won$176K72% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $46K sold
-
Frances Tiafoe lost$70K28% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $9.8K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies | $70K | 6 | Won: Cleveland Guardians | |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners | $185K | 14 | Won: Chicago Cubs | |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox | $52K | 8 | Won: Chicago White Sox | |
| Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Bellucci | $53K | 8 | Won: Mattia Bellucci | |
| Winston-Salem Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic | $74K | 5 | Won: Miomir Kecmanovic | |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | $60K | 18 | Won: New York Yankees | |
| Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo | $82K | 7 | Won: Adolfo Vallejo | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | $71K | 8 | Won: Tampa Bay Rays |