Vigilant-Vibrissae
0x5257aa84944804bbb0c718814ebebeeafaca3e2a
Vigilant-Vibrissae: +$20K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 30%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$20K
return +25.7%
Settled bets
15
$77K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 30%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$20K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | BUY Vitality
@ 74¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $1.1K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Clara Tauson
@ 44¢
Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson |
Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson | $3.5K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Seattle Storm
@ 83¢
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm |
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm | $3.0K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Maja Chwalinska
@ 89¢
Monterrey Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia Parks |
Monterrey Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia Parks | $5.3K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Henrique Rocha
@ 68¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris | $1.1K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Yunchaokete Bu
@ 43¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi | $7.3K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Mattia Bellucci
@ 48¢
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderi |
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderi | $1.6K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Nishesh Basavareddy
@ 47¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy | $9.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.