Nutty-Rooster-Colonialism

0xdd6331d7e7be19d60649434e99ddb89392fe050f

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Nutty-Rooster-Colonialism: −$3.7K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 30%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$3.7K
return −4.1%
Settled bets
15
$89K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 30%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$6.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$3.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 8 BUY Los Angeles Angels @ 74¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox $8.9K
Sep 5 BUY Botic van de Zandschulp @ 59¢
US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp
US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp $7.7K
Sep 5 BUY Arthur Gea @ 49¢
US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea
US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea $5.0K
Sep 4 BUY Detroit Tigers @ 41¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians $7.3K
Sep 3 BUY New York Mets @ 63¢
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays $3.6K
Sep 3 BUY New York Mets @ 72¢
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays $6.2K
Sep 2 BUY Lloyd Harris @ 47¢
US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas $4.7K
Sep 2 BUY Marcos Giron @ 60¢
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse $7.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed