Tempting-Chrysalis

0x10ff6cd4b1b5669d4ca87faebae0c869ad315088

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tempting-Chrysalis: +$20K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 40%–89%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$20K
return +40.9%
Settled bets
10
$50K staked
Won
70.0%
95% range 40%–89%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$7.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$13K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 9 BUY Antigua And Barbuda Falcons @ 60¢
Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons $1.7K
Sep 8 SELL Alex Michelsen @ 46¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen $1.2K
Sep 8 SELL Alex Michelsen @ 46¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen $1.4K
Sep 8 SELL Alex Michelsen @ 46¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen $1.1K
Sep 8 BUY Karen Khachanov @ 57¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien $1.8K
Sep 8 BUY Karen Khachanov @ 57¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien $1.8K
Sep 8 BUY Karen Khachanov @ 57¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien $1.8K
Sep 8 BUY Karen Khachanov @ 57¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed