Polymarket market · Sports

Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo

Resolved: Adolfo Vallejo won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $82K into this market since Aug 23, 93% of their buying on Adolfo Vallejo. Adolfo Vallejo won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$5.6K and 1 lost −$4.9K: +$697 between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sore-Sneaker-Sombrero
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adolfo Vallejo @ 98¢ $52K — +$1.2K
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.7K —
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $5.1K —
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adolfo Vallejo @ 62¢ $5.0K — +$3.1K
Snoopy-Feature
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pablo Carreno Busta @ 56¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Dapper-Pub-Warmth
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adolfo Vallejo @ 99¢ $3.6K — +$36
Costly-Tub-Vaulting
8 settled bets Too few bets
Adolfo Vallejo @ 70¢ $2.9K — +$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Adolfo Vallejo won
    $63K
    93% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $14K sold
  2. Pablo Carreno Busta lost
    $4.9K
    7% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed