Finished-Icicle

0xe3e47233c71ccebab5885d1953d0beade45b8087

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Finished-Icicle: +$2.6K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.6K
return +52.6%
Settled bets
3
$4.9K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 46¢
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-4.5) vs Alex Molcan (+4.5)
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-4.5) vs Alex Molcan (+4.5) $2.4K
Oct 9 BUY Alex Molcan @ 31¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan $3.5K
Sep 2 BUY Nuclear TigeRES @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs $1.8K
Sep 1 BUY Valerio Aboian @ 99¢
Plovdiv 3: Marko Topo vs Valerio Aboian
Plovdiv 3: Marko Topo vs Valerio Aboian $2.5K
Aug 25 BUY Under @ 8¢
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5 $2.4K
Aug 23 BUY Preston @ 47¢
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Preston (+1.5)
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Preston (+1.5) $2.0K
Aug 23 BUY Taylah Preston @ 25¢
Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston
Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston $3.0K
Aug 23 SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 33¢
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe $5.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed