Polymarket market · Sports

Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse

Resolved: Ignacio Buse won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $273K into this market since Aug 27, 60% of their buying on Ignacio Buse. Ignacio Buse won. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$32K and 9 lost −$48K: −$16K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 37¢ $29K $66K —
Sore-Sneaker-Sombrero
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 54¢ $18K $28K —
Flamboyant-Hummus-Advance
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 56¢ $15K — −$15K
Sudden-Hide
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 41¢ $14K — +$16K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Ignacio Buse @ 70¢ $11K — +$4.7K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 54¢ $4.9K $4.8K −$91
Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 29¢ $8.6K — −$8.6K
Snoopy-Feature
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.0K —
Impolite-Motel
11 settled bets Too few bets
Ignacio Buse @ 67¢ $1.2K $6.8K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 72¢ $7.1K — −$7.1K
Dapper-Pub-Warmth
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 53¢ $4.6K $2.2K −$2.4K
Unwieldy-Guestbook-Wildebeest
3 settled bets Too few bets
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 55¢ $5.6K — −$5.6K
Hateful-Retouching-Pressroom
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 48¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Youthful-Mug
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 45¢ $4.3K — +$5.2K
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 69¢ $4.3K — +$1.9K
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $3.9K —
Radiant-Birdhouse
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 55¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Humiliating-Concert
5 settled bets Too few bets
Ignacio Buse @ 65¢ $1.3K $1.9K +$578
Anxious-Shorts
21 settled bets Too few bets
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 53¢ $1.1K $2.0K —
0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Showy-Emergence
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 45¢ $2.3K — +$2.8K
Tinted-Text
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 90¢ $1.7K — +$183
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 31¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Hot-Efficiency-Flintlock
4 settled bets Too few bets
Ignacio Buse @ 56¢ $1.3K — +$995
Leafy-Narrative-Departure
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Ignacio Buse won
    $86K
    60% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $119K sold
  2. Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost
    $58K
    40% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $9.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 27 to Aug 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed