Polymarket market · Sports
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Cristian Garin
Resolved: Toby Samuel won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales put $58K into this market since Aug 27, 72% of their buying on Cristian Garin. Toby Samuel won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$8.3K and 4 lost −$18K: −$9.4K between them.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hateful-Retouching-Pressroom
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $11K | — |
| Bad-Cane
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $11K | — |
| Usable-Manufacturing
54 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Cristian Garin @ 65¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Sudden-Hide
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristian Garin @ 30¢ | $4.5K | — | −$4.5K |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $4.3K | — |
| Beautiful-Anime
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.8K | — |
| Acceptable-Weather
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Toby Samuel @ 34¢ | $3.4K | — | +$6.6K |
| Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Toby Samuel @ 67¢ | $3.4K | — | +$1.7K |
| 0xe98c…8792
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Austere-Letter
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Cristian Garin @ 69¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Modern-Airspace-Longitude
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristian Garin @ 63¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Cristian Garin lost$18K72% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $16K sold
-
Toby Samuel won$6.8K28% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $17K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 27 to Aug 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).