Showy-Emergence
0x9d8a71b1caf3cf1d7cc72b610058c6c424865201
Showy-Emergence: +$3.2K on 39 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 19%–46%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.2K
return +4.1%
Settled bets
39
$79K staked
Won
30.8%
95% range 19%–46%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 30 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$11K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$7.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | BUY Darja Semenistaja
@ 52¢
Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Teodora Kostovic |
Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Teodora Kostovic | $1.3K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Diane Parry
@ 52¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns | $2.1K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Alycia Parks
@ 14¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek | $1.9K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Alycia Parks
@ 41¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek | $2.0K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Ignacio Buse
@ 45¢
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse |
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse | $2.3K |
| Aug 27 | BUY 9z
@ 62¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | $3.1K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Over
@ 48¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5 |
Games Total: O/U 2.5 | $1.2K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Vitaliy Sachko
@ 45¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.