Handy-Ruffle
0x3dca854f147d9b9ecc56d37800f36b347ce23c13
Handy-Ruffle: +$1.4K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.4K
return +28.4%
Settled bets
7
$4.8K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$22
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | $2.5K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 55¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 49¢
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? |
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 75¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | $1.2K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | $1.2K |
| Sep 25 | SELL No
@ 99.7¢
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.