Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva

Resolved: Alina Charaeva won · See it on Polymarket ↗

32 whales put $176K into this market since Oct 3, 56% of their buying on Alina Charaeva. Alina Charaeva won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$94K and 8 lost −$39K: +$55K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 32
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Black-And-White-Solitaire
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alina Charaeva @ 35¢ $13K $3.0K +$19K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alina Charaeva @ 43¢ $14K — +$6.3K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alina Charaeva @ 33¢ $12K — +$7.2K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alina Charaeva @ 68¢ $12K — +$5.8K
Straight-Desire-Needle
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 94¢ $12K — −$12K
Horrible-Recording
10 settled bets Too few bets
Alina Charaeva @ 52¢ $2.1K $7.6K —
Sneaky-Flan
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 94¢ $8.8K — −$8.8K
Rich-Calf
8 settled bets Too few bets
Elena Rybakina @ 94¢ $5.0K $3.8K −$1.2K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alina Charaeva @ 51¢ $8.1K — +$5.5K
0xafef…f50e
12 settled bets Too few bets
Alina Charaeva @ 31¢ $1.5K $4.9K +$3.3K
Hot-Webpage
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alina Charaeva @ 85¢ $6.1K — +$1.1K
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.6K —
Hefty-Metabolite
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 94¢ $5.5K — −$5.5K
Humble-Hummus
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.4K —
Tedious-Purchase
8 settled bets Too few bets
Elena Rybakina @ 66¢ $3.9K $1.2K —
Monumental-Fold
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Dimpled-Fishbone
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 95¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Favorable-Neuron
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alina Charaeva @ 36¢ $3.5K — +$6.4K
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 96¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Noxious-Marionberry-Sash
23 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.4K —
Limping-Shine
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 94¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alina Charaeva @ 36¢ $3.0K — +$5.3K
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alina Charaeva @ 81¢ $2.4K — +$545
Acceptable-Weather
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alina Charaeva @ 22¢ $2.2K — +$7.8K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 70¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K

Where the whale money went

  1. Alina Charaeva won
    $74K
    56% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $37K sold
  2. Elena Rybakina lost
    $59K
    44% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $5.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed