Monumental-Fold

0x506a7078546437cb3c5bce3e62af81acb3c2bd4e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Monumental-Fold: −$4.7K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 13% (95% range 4%–38%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.7K
return −56.0%
Settled bets
15
$8.4K staked
Won
13.3%
95% range 4%–38%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Arantxa Rus @ 99.06¢
W50 Lexington, SC: Arantxa Rus vs Whitney Osuigwe
W50 Lexington, SC: Arantxa Rus vs Whitney Osuigwe $4.7K
Oct 7 BUY Mariam Bolkvadze @ 75¢
Samsun: Leolia Jeanjean vs Mariam Bolkvadze
Samsun: Leolia Jeanjean vs Mariam Bolkvadze $2.9K
Oct 6 SELL Linda Klimovicova @ 94¢
Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova
Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova $1.5K
Oct 4 SELL Guido Justo @ 99.9¢
Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Guido Justo
Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Guido Justo $5.3K
Oct 4 SELL Alan Magadan @ 99.9¢
Antofagasta: Nicolas Bruna vs Alan Magadan
Antofagasta: Nicolas Bruna vs Alan Magadan $2.1K
Oct 4 SELL Alan Magadan @ 99.9¢
Antofagasta: Nicolas Bruna vs Alan Magadan
Antofagasta: Nicolas Bruna vs Alan Magadan $1.8K
Oct 3 SELL Alina Charaeva @ 99.9¢
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva $3.8K
Sep 30 SELL Kristina Penickova @ 99.9¢
W100 Templeton, CA: Kristina Penickova vs Iryna Shymanovich
W100 Templeton, CA: Kristina Penickova vs Iryna Shymanovich $3.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed