0xafef…f50e
0xafef98246f384449a4e13aa779e7cb414d7ff50e
0xafef…f50e: −$1.8K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 8% (95% range 2%–35%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.8K
return −44.1%
Settled bets
12
$4.2K staked
Won
8.3%
95% range 2%–35%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$264
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL San Jose State
@ 48¢
Wyoming vs. San Jose State |
Wyoming vs. San Jose State | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Grizzlies
@ 39¢
Grizzlies vs. Bulls |
Grizzlies vs. Bulls | $1.3K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Atlanta Dream
@ 99.9¢
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty |
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty | $1.3K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Atlanta Dream
@ 79¢
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty |
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Amandine Monnot
@ 99.9¢
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin |
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin | $2.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Amandine Monnot
@ 72¢
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin |
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yi Zhou
@ 36¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Matilde Paoletti
@ 57¢
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Matilde Paoletti vs Alessandra Mazzola |
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Matilde Paoletti vs Alessandra Mazzola | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.