Straight-Desire-Needle
0x55f544a537f6b9f50a8d27e662c250e93418e2a0
Straight-Desire-Needle: −$17K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 81% (95% range 62%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$17K
return −8.9%
Settled bets
26
$192K staked
Won
80.8%
95% range 62%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$157
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$9.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$7.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Coco Gauff
@ 93¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | $3.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Elena Rybakina
@ 94¢
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva |
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | $12K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 97¢
China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | $8.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 97¢
China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | $10K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Mirra Andreeva
@ 92¢
China Open: Yue Yuan vs Mirra Andreeva |
China Open: Yue Yuan vs Mirra Andreeva | $8.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 91¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi |
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi | $10K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Las Vegas Aces
@ 93¢
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces |
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces | $18K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | $12K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.