Polymarket market · Sports

US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng

Resolved: Qinwen Zheng won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales put $124K into this market since Sep 5, 84% of their buying on Madison Keys. Qinwen Zheng won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$5.3K and 10 lost −$59K: −$54K between them.

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Qinwen Zheng @ 40¢ $5.0K $24K —
Arid-Revolver
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 60¢ $26K — −$26K
Loving-Atheist
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 98¢ $13K — −$13K
Bumpy-Burden
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.5K —
Grateful-Chest
183 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.0K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Madison Keys @ 93¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Smoggy-Veterinarian
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.7K —
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Qinwen Zheng @ 86¢ $1.9K $1.6K —
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Unrealistic-Surgery
1 settled bets Too few bets
Madison Keys @ 89¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Quixotic-Brow
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 61¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Each-Cenotaph
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 55¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Mad-Wound
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 86¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Long-Biopsy
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Qinwen Zheng @ 52¢ $2.5K — +$391
Muted-Dearest
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Qinwen Zheng @ 86¢ $2.0K — +$328
Difficult-Purchase
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 60¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Dearest-Alpha-Aim
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
0x4e56…dee1
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 80¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Innocent-Grape
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Qinwen Zheng @ 21¢ $1.2K — +$4.6K
Shimmering-Chrome
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Uniform-Entertainment-User
23 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Madison Keys @ 84¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Madison Keys lost
    $60K
    84% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $2.7K sold
  2. Qinwen Zheng won
    $12K
    16% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $47K sold
  3. Qinwen Zheng lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $3.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed