Uniform-Entertainment-User

0x124eb9aa72183053e0984b6db4d608e540c91c58

Polymarket

Worse than the odds Check it on Polymarket ↗

Uniform-Entertainment-User: −$6.8K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 16%–51%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.

Profit
−$6.8K
return −33.7%
Settled bets
23
$20K staked
Won
30.4%
95% range 16%–51%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$8.8K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$2.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Oct 7 BUY FlyQuest @ 94¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 5 SELL Qinwen Zheng @ 99.9¢
China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng
China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng $1.2K
Sep 19 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 85¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Sep 17 BUY Top Esports @ 47¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner $1.5K
Sep 9 SELL Nongshim Esports Academy @ 99.9¢
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 8 BUY T1 Academy @ 93¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 6 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed